Recherches sur la probabilité des jugements en matière criminelle et en matière civile
Recherches sur la probabilité des jugements en matière criminelle et en matière civile

Recherches sur la probabilité des jugements en matière criminelle et en matière civile
1837 AD
AKA Research on the Probability of Judgments in Criminal and Civil Matters

Poisson's probability theory: The work theorizes .the number of wrongful convictions in a given country by focusing on certain random variables N that count, among other things, the number of discrete occurrences (sometimes called "events" or "arrivals") that take place during a time-interval of given length.

The result had already been given in 1711 by Abraham de Moivre in De Mensura Sortis seu; de Probabilitate Eventuum in Ludis a Casu Fortuito Pendentibus .

This makes it an example of Stigler's law and it has prompted some authors to argue that the Poisson distribution should bear the name of de Moivre.

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